Question

Pandemic series: pathogen research rejected for publication as an information hazard?

Resolved :No

3 comments3

Total Forecasters64

Community Prediction36%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 36%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.3

Community Peer Score

17.0

median 36.0%mean 33.8%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Pandemic Series (2018)

Health & Pandemics

Natural Sciences

Public health

United States biological weapons program

Influenza A virus subtype H5N1

Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to biotechnology or bioengineered organisms?

27%

What type of pathogen will cause the next pandemic?

Will there be a novel pathogen that kills over 25 million people between 2022 and 2031 (inclusive)?

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