🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Who will win the Tour de France 2024?

4
9
107 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 105

Make a Prediction

Tour de France Winner?Me
ResolvedTadej Pogačar
98.5%
Jonas Vingegaard
0.9%
Primož Roglič
0.1%
Egan Bernal
0.1%
Richard Carapaz
0.1%
Remco Evenepoel
0.1%
Jai Hindley
0.1%
Other
0.1%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Tadej Pogačar

Community Baseline Score
83.5
Community Peer Score
26.6
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
colehenrich
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Sports & Entertainment
2024 Leaderboard

Comments

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