Question

When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?

11 comments11

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction2030-03-19 (2026-10-29 - 2035-11-24)

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2044-12-31

...

2026-10-29 10:00

2030-03-19 05:27

2035-11-24 21:35

10.6%

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Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Transport

Robotics

Driving under the influence

Self-driving car

SAE International

Automation

NHTSA finally releases new rules for self-driving cars — but there’s a twist

Verge•Dec 21, 2024

Feds clear the way for robotaxis without steering wheels and pedals

TechCrunch•Dec 21, 2024

Motorists rally behind calls for tougher sentences to tackle drink-driving as AI cameras are rolled out to snare offenders

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-04-17

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

3.71k

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closed:

Scheduled resolution:

Law

Technology

2016-2025 Leaderboard

Transport

Robotics

Driving under the influence

Self-driving car

SAE International

Automation

NHTSA finally releases new rules for self-driving cars — but there’s a twist

Verge•Dec 21, 2024

Feds clear the way for robotaxis without steering wheels and pedals

TechCrunch•Dec 21, 2024

Motorists rally behind calls for tougher sentences to tackle drink-driving as AI cameras are rolled out to snare offenders

Daily Mail•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

2073-04-17

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

3.71k

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When will a DUI be overruled or turned down due to riding a driverless car?

Make a Prediction

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

Comments

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?

When will at least two US states first disallow human-driven vehicles on public roads?

How many alcohol-impaired driving fatalities will be reported in the US in 2039?

On January 1, 2026, will Cruise operate a rider-only ride-hailing service anywhere in the United States?