🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will US offer India a nuclear submarine before Sept 30, 2024?

Resolved :No10%
11
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction10% (5% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
70.7
Community Peer Score
46.3
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
AI benchmarking warmup
2024 Leaderboard

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