🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Scotland leave the United Kingdom before 2025?

Resolved :No0.1%
59
78
Total Forecasters627
Community Prediction0.1% (0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
82.7
Community Peer Score
13.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Scotland
2014 Scottish independence referendum
United Nations
European Union
United Kingdom
2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum

Comments

? comments