Question

Will an airborne wind energy system of at least 100kW be sold before 2022?

Resolved :Yes40%

28 comments28

Total Forecasters52

Community Prediction40% (33% - 44%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 40%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-20.1

Community Peer Score

-1.1

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Authors:

TomTospace

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Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

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Comments

? comments

Authors:

TomTospace

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Technology

2020-2021 Leaderboard

The most encouraging climate solutions and green technologies of 2024

New Scientist•Dec 17, 2024

Murdering Birds to Save the Climate?

CounterPunch•Dec 18, 2024

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Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

85.3%

How much new wind capacity will be installed globally in 2030?

126

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Will an airborne wind energy system of at least 100kW be sold before 2022?

Make a Prediction

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

How much new wind capacity will be installed globally in 2030?

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Comments

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

How much new wind capacity will be installed globally in 2030?

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

How much new wind capacity will be installed globally in 2030?

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?

Will there be a test flight of a full-scale heavy-lift cargo airship before 2031?

How much new wind capacity will be installed globally in 2030?

Will there be a year before 2074 when the percentage of renewable energy supported by space-based power systems is greater than that supported by earth-based power generation systems?