Question

Metaknowledge Experiment Part A: Will the UK vote for Brexit?

Resolved :Yes30%

14 comments14

Total Forecasters47

Community Prediction30% (20% - 40%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 30%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-55.9

Community Peer Score

25.0

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Jun 19, 2016

Closes:

Jun 23, 2016

Resolves:

Jun 24, 2016

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

53%

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

10%

Comments

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