MetaculusM

Question

Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?

29

Total Forecasters116

Community Prediction50% (40% - 75%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 50%

Authors:

NMorrison RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 5, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Expert shares key facts about asteroid that could hit Earth in 2032

CBS•Feb 14, 2025

NASA’s odds of ‘city-killing’ asteroid hitting Earth just went up — the highest probability ever

New York Post•Feb 18, 2025

Odds Of Asteroid Hitting Earth In 2032 Keep Ticking Up

Daily Wire•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

NMorrison RyanBeck

Opened:

Jul 5, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Expert shares key facts about asteroid that could hit Earth in 2032

CBS•Feb 14, 2025

NASA’s odds of ‘city-killing’ asteroid hitting Earth just went up — the highest probability ever

New York Post•Feb 18, 2025

Odds Of Asteroid Hitting Earth In 2032 Keep Ticking Up

Daily Wire•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch