Question

Will the Liberal Party of Canada win the most seats in the next Canadian general election?

Resolved :Yes55%

39 comments39

Total Forecasters82

Community Prediction55% (53% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

2.2

Community Peer Score

6.6

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

metani

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

2019 Leaderboard

Liberal Party of Canada

List of Canadian federal general elections

2019 Canadian federal election

House of Commons of Canada

Canada’s Liberals brace for possible trouncing in British Columbia byelection

Guardian•Dec 16, 2024

Canada's Justin Trudeau Might Be on His Way Out Before the Federal Elections

Townhall•Dec 17, 2024

Canadian prime minister faces growing pressure from his own party to resign

PBS NewsHour•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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