🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

What will Keir Starmer's approval rating as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be on September 18, 2024?

Resolved :3634.5
3
27
Total Forecasters66
Community Prediction34.5 (31.1 - 37.8)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
<25
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>70
...
...
...
...
...
3.6%
31.08
34.53
37.76
0.1%

What was the final result?36

Community Baseline Score
60.7
Community Peer Score
20.3
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
pedroacosta
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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