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M

Question

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before Sept 30, 2024?

Resolved :No8%
45
Total Forecasters30
Community Prediction8% (5% - 22.5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 8%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Beer Score
0.0
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
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