Question

Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: what will the Metaculus community predict about Brexit?

Resolved :Ambiguous

2 comments2

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction35%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

median 35.0%mean 31.9%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Politics

United Kingdom

Brexit

Trump tariffs — and possible exemptions — could provide opportunities for Britain

CNBC•Nov 13, 2024

Here's what people are betting on in prediction markets now that the election is over

Business Insider•Nov 14, 2024

Bank of England governor says Brexit has undermined UK economy

Guardian•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

52.3%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Comments

? comments