Question

Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: what will the Metaculus community predict about Brexit?

Resolved :Ambiguous35%

2 comments2

Total Forecasters32

Community Prediction35% (25% - 41%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 35%

Did this actually happen?Ambiguous

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Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Farage Warns Starmer Against Brexit Betrayal in EU Talks

Breitbart•Dec 17, 2024

Brexit cost UK £27bn in lost trade in first two years, review finds

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Clouds on horizon as EU members meet to discuss relationship with UK

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

52.3%

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Farage Warns Starmer Against Brexit Betrayal in EU Talks

Breitbart•Dec 17, 2024

Brexit cost UK £27bn in lost trade in first two years, review finds

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Clouds on horizon as EU members meet to discuss relationship with UK

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

52.3%

Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

MetaculusM

Metaknowledge Experiment Part B: what will the Metaculus community predict about Brexit?

Make a Prediction

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Comments

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

When the next referendum is held on Scotland's Union with the United Kingdom, will Scotland vote to leave?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?