Question

Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters195

Community Prediction3%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

median 3.0%mean 7.2%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Quality over quantity: U.S. military strategy and spending in the Trump years

•Nov 14, 2024

The High Cost of Empire: US Weapons Depletion Fuels Concerns Over Military Readiness

MintPress News•Nov 16, 2024

NATO's 'Trump whisperer' chief has a clear message for the president-elect: Europe knows it must spend more on arms

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

2.46

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

2060-08-16

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Quality over quantity: U.S. military strategy and spending in the Trump years

•Nov 14, 2024

The High Cost of Empire: US Weapons Depletion Fuels Concerns Over Military Readiness

MintPress News•Nov 16, 2024

NATO's 'Trump whisperer' chief has a clear message for the president-elect: Europe knows it must spend more on arms

Business Insider•Nov 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

2.46

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

2060-08-16