Question

Will any country's military expenditure exceed that of the United States before 2030?

15 comments15

Total Forecasters195

Community Prediction3% (1.5% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 3%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Feb 4, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

US economy is based on war

OpEdNews•Jan 20, 2025

What Will China Do With Its Newfound Military Power?

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

The decline of the Pentagon: A new scenario of uncertainty for NATO

Strategic Culture•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

2.58

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

2060-05-09

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Feb 4, 2019

Closes:

Jan 1, 2030

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

US economy is based on war

OpEdNews•Jan 20, 2025

What Will China Do With Its Newfound Military Power?

Newsweek•Jan 21, 2025

The decline of the Pentagon: A new scenario of uncertainty for NATO

Strategic Culture•Jan 21, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

What percentage of world GDP will be spent on military expenses in 2030?

2.58

Chinese GDP Overtakes US Before 2030? → US-China war before 2035?

When will China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically?

2060-05-09