🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will leading Democratic lawmakers publicly call for Joe Biden to end his candidacy for the Democratic nomination before August 7, 2024?

6
13
50 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Total Forecasters 50

Make a Prediction

OptionsMe
ResolvedBiden drops out first
98.8%
Listed Democrat calls for Biden to drop out
0.9%
Neither before August 7
0.3%
Total: ?
(? remaining)

Which of these actually happened?Biden drops out first

Community Baseline Score
-18.1
Community Peer Score
17.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
lbiii
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

Comments

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