Question

Will the US government shut down on February 16th?

Resolved :No15%

7 comments7

Total Forecasters58

Community Prediction15% (3% - 26%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

32.4

Community Peer Score

12.4

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Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will US Government Shut Down on December 20? What We Know

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Will there be a government shutdown? Live updates on the latest from Congress

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

As government shutdown looms, here's where federal workers would be most affected

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?

0.5%

Will a US Bitcoin strategic reserve be announced before 20 January 2029?

66%

Will the United States disband the Department of Education through an act of Congress before 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Will US Government Shut Down on December 20? What We Know

Newsweek•Dec 17, 2024

Will there be a government shutdown? Live updates on the latest from Congress

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

As government shutdown looms, here's where federal workers would be most affected

USA Today•Dec 19, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2025?

0.5%

Will a US Bitcoin strategic reserve be announced before 20 January 2029?

66%