Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the US government shut down on February 16th?

Resolved :No15%
3
7
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction15% (3% - 26%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
32.4
Community Peer Score
12.4
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
casens
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2019 Leaderboard
United States
February 16

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