Question

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2025?

18 comments18

Total Forecasters308

Community Prediction0.1%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

median 0.1%mean 0.9%

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Possible Europe-US trade war could push euro into parity with the dollar

Guardian•Nov 25, 2024

France on the verge of political collapse: Le Pen's hard-right warns Brexit-bashing PM Michel Barnier they will launch no confidence vote unless he yields to their budget demands

Daily Mail•Dec 2, 2024

France heads towards political collapse as Brexit-bashing PM Michel Barnier pushes hated austerity policies through without a vote - triggering no-confidence vote

Daily Mail•Dec 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

10%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Jgalt

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Possible Europe-US trade war could push euro into parity with the dollar

Guardian•Nov 25, 2024

France on the verge of political collapse: Le Pen's hard-right warns Brexit-bashing PM Michel Barnier they will launch no confidence vote unless he yields to their budget demands

Daily Mail•Dec 2, 2024

France heads towards political collapse as Brexit-bashing PM Michel Barnier pushes hated austerity policies through without a vote - triggering no-confidence vote

Daily Mail•Dec 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will any Member State leave the Eurozone before 2030?

Will any of Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, and/or Germany leave the EU before 2027?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

10%