Question

Will there be an openly LGBT Pope before 2050?

59 comments59

Total Forecasters222

Community Prediction1% (0.5% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Authors:

Sylvain

Opened:

Feb 21, 2019

Closes:

Dec 31, 2049

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2050

Vatican gripped by gay and left wing cliques, says whistleblower

Strategic Culture•Feb 16, 2025

Pope Francis Has United the World—Against Himself

Newsweek•Feb 16, 2025

Vatican Erases LGBTQ+ Event from Jubilee Calendar

Breitbart•Feb 19, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will an openly LGBTQ person be elected President of the United States by 2041?

17.5%

Who will be the next Pope?

Will the Catholic Church end the requirement for clerical celibacy by 2030?

1.2%

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