Question

If the US enters a recession, how many months will the economic contraction last?

Resolved :2

93 comments93

Total Forecasters145

Community Prediction6.77

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>56

...

4.638

6.768

11.2

0.5%

What was the final result?2

Community Baseline Score

4.0

Community Peer Score

35.9

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

National Bureau of Economic Research

United States

Great Recession

Real gross domestic product

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

33%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Tamay

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

National Bureau of Economic Research

United States

Great Recession

Real gross domestic product

Recession fears are fading. Now it’s time for America’s companies to back that up

CNN•Oct 10, 2024

A Trump victory raises the risk of a US economic situation worse than recession, 'Dr. Doom' Nouriel Roubini says

Business Insider•Oct 10, 2024

A 32-year market vet shares 5 labor market indicators showing the US economy is barreling toward a recession — putting an overvalued stock market at risk for major declines

Business Insider•Oct 12, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the US enter a recession before the following dates?

Will a recession begin in the United States in the following years?

Will Australia enter a recession before 2026?

33%