Question
Five years after AGI, what will be the biological human population?
Total Forecasters28
Community Prediction8.84B (8.22B - 9.36B)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5B | 3.0% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 8.216B | — |
| median | 8.837B | — |
| upper 75% | 9.357B | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15B | 0.5% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
