Question

Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

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Community Prediction49.2 (20.8 - 61.6)

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20.82

49.19

61.58

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Authors:

will_aldred

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Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

The rise of the "AI engineer" and what it means for the future of tech jobs

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

The Future of Driver Jobs: AI Outshine Human Workers

•Dec 14, 2024

In 2025 Gen AI Will Slow (Sundar Pichai) Or Sprint (Sam Altman)

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

The rise of the "AI engineer" and what it means for the future of tech jobs

Business Insider•Dec 13, 2024

The Future of Driver Jobs: AI Outshine Human Workers

•Dec 14, 2024

In 2025 Gen AI Will Slow (Sundar Pichai) Or Sprint (Sam Altman)

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Five years after AGI, what will be the U.S.’s employment to population ratio?

Make a Prediction

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Comments

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 50% before 2027?

Will the U.S. employment to population ratio fall below 30% before 2030?

Will the US employment-population ratio fall below the COVID-19 low (51.3%) in any month in the following years, due to AI or otherwise?