MetaculusM

Question

Five years after AGI, what % of people will be living in extreme poverty?

5

Total Forecasters23

Community Prediction4.67 (1.03 - 8.48)

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weight:

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>10

...

...

...

...

1.032

4.668

8.48

18.0%

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Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

In 2025 Gen AI Will Slow (Sundar Pichai) Or Sprint (Sam Altman)

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

Wired•Dec 18, 2024

OpenAI's o3 model aced a test of AI reasoning – but it's still not AGI

New Scientist•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

In 2025 Gen AI Will Slow (Sundar Pichai) Or Sprint (Sam Altman)

Forbes•Dec 16, 2024

Generative AI and Climate Change Are on a Collision Course

Wired•Dec 18, 2024

OpenAI's o3 model aced a test of AI reasoning – but it's still not AGI

New Scientist•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch