Question

Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters37

Community Prediction1% (0.1% - 10%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

Astronomers Propose Radical New Way To Look For Signs Of Energy- Hungry Aliens

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

17%

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

329k

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

Astronomers Propose Radical New Way To Look For Signs Of Energy- Hungry Aliens

Forbes•Dec 13, 2024

The biggest science stories that lit up our world in 2024

PBS NewsHour•Dec 21, 2024

Human Misuse Will Make Artificial Intelligence More Dangerous

Wired•Dec 14, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

17%

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

329k

Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

MetaculusM

Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?

Make a Prediction

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Comments

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?