Question

Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters33

Community Prediction1%

Make a Prediction

community: 1%

median 1.0%mean 10.1%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

12%

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

295k

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Technology

Artificial Intelligence

Silicon Valley has a plan to save humanity: Just flip on the nuclear reactors

CNN•Oct 1, 2024

Power-Thirsty AI Turns to Mothballed Nuclear Plants. Is That Safe?

Scientific American•Oct 2, 2024

'A lot of money is going to get wasted': MIT economist sounds the alarm on AI hype

Business Insider•Oct 2, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

12%

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

295k

MetaculusM

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

Five years after AGI, will a Dyson swarm be under construction?

Make a Prediction

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

Comments

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?

By five years after AGI, will nuclear fusion provide >10% of the world’s energy?

Five years after AGI, what will be humanity’s energy consumption?

Five years after AGI, will another spacecraft have overtaken Voyager 1 as the farthest spacecraft from Earth?