Question

Five years after AGI, how rich will the richest person in the world be?

1 comment1

Total Forecasters18

Community Prediction1.1e12

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

<100B

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>1.5e12

...

6.8%

604B

1.1e12

1.4e12

22.4%

Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%

Will the richest person in the world in 2033 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?

53%

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

15%

Comments

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Authors:

will_aldred

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Five Years After AGI

Economy & Business

Artificial Intelligence

Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang Vaults Into World’s 10 Richest For First Time Ever

Forbes•Oct 22, 2024

Head of World’s Largest Sovereign Wealth Fund Sees a Problem With the A.I. Hype

Observer (NY)•Oct 22, 2024

How Did Elon Musk Become the Richest Person on Earth?

CounterPunch•Oct 22, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will Elon Musk be the richest person in the world on December 31, 2025?

51%

Will the richest person in the world in 2033 have a net worth equivalent to or greater than 2% of the United States' GDP at the time?

53%

Will Elon Musk become the first trillionaire?

15%