Question

Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021?

Resolved :No18%

28 comments28

Total Forecasters127

Community Prediction18% (10% - 31%)

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50%

community: 18%

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Authors:

Pshyeah

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Economy & Business

2016-2020 Leaderboard

The federal crash-reporting rule Tesla opposes could be on the chopping block

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

Tesla is courting Texas cities to test its promised robotaxi service

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Tesla is feeling out Austin, TX for a robotaxi launch.

Verge•Dec 20, 2024

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Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

55%

How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?

478k

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

2016-2020 Leaderboard

The federal crash-reporting rule Tesla opposes could be on the chopping block

TechCrunch•Dec 14, 2024

Tesla is courting Texas cities to test its promised robotaxi service

TechCrunch•Dec 20, 2024

Tesla is feeling out Austin, TX for a robotaxi launch.

Verge•Dec 20, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

55%

How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?

478k

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Will Tesla roll out the fully autonomous autopilot feature before 2021?

Make a Prediction

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

Comments

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?

Long Bets series: Will Tesla have been the first company with 1 million SAE Level 4 autonomy on over 90% of public roads in the contiguous United States by January 1st 2037?

How many non-Tesla vehicles will be licensed with Tesla software by 2030?

Will Tesla be able to mass produce humanoid robots by the end of 2027?