Question

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?

14 comments14

Total Forecasters21

Community Prediction237

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My Prediction

community

<20

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2k

...

0.7%

137.6

236.8

414.1

2.3%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024?

307

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

316

Comments

? comments

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Respiratory Outlook 2024/25

Health & Pandemics

Measles is debilitating and deadly, and cases are surging, WHO and CDC warn

CNN•Nov 15, 2024

WHO warns of measles resurgence as cases exceed 10 million in 2023

Al Jazeera•Nov 15, 2024

Measles cases rose to more than 10 million in 2023, WHO and CDC say

NBC•Nov 15, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2024?

307

What will be the average vaccination rate in US counties that report at least five measles cases in 2024?

91.7

What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?

316