Question
How many measles cases will be reported in the United States in 2025?
Total Forecasters38
Community Prediction
1.34k cases
(839 - 2k)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <20 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 839.1 | — |
| median | 1.342k | — |
| upper 75% | >2k | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2k | 29.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 25, 2024
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
327
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
89.7
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?
91.4
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 17, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 25, 2024
What will be the average annual number of measles cases in the US from 2025 through 2030?
327
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2029-2030 school year?
89.7
What will be the national kindergarten measles vaccination rate in the US for the 2028-2029 school year?
91.4