MetaculusM

Question

Five years after AGI, will there have been a World War III?

7

Total Forecasters43

Community Prediction15% (8% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 15%

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

NATO Ally Warns of Russia Launching 'Large-Scale' War in Europe

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

REVEALED: How many Americans think the world is edging toward WWIII

Daily Mail•Feb 16, 2025

A new Civil War?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

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Authors:

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Five Years After AGI

Artificial Intelligence

NATO Ally Warns of Russia Launching 'Large-Scale' War in Europe

Newsweek•Feb 12, 2025

REVEALED: How many Americans think the world is edging toward WWIII

Daily Mail•Feb 16, 2025

A new Civil War?

American Thinker•Feb 16, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch