Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

When will Jeremy Corbyn cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

Resolved :Apr 4, 20202020-03-20
6
31
Total Forecasters64
Community Prediction2020-03-20 (2020-01-30 - 2020-05-13)

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2023-01-01
...
...
...
...
2020-01-30 20:47
2020-03-20 14:12
2020-05-13 19:12
0.6%

What was the final result?Apr 4, 2020

Community Baseline Score
27.2
Community Peer Score
23.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2019 Leaderboard
Islington North (UK Parliament constituency)
2016 Labour Party leadership election (UK)
Parliament of the UK
Labour Party (UK)
Jeremy Corbyn
Change UK

Comments

? comments