Question

When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?

7 comments7

Total Forecasters80

Community Prediction2030-01

Make a Prediction

My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2220-02

...

2025-09

2030-01

2039-05

1.6%

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Texas hold 'em

List of World Series of Poker Main Event champions

Rio All-Suite Hotel and Casino

Las Vegas

Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?

10%

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

2037-02

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

Comments

? comments

Authors:

converse

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

AI Demonstrations

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

Technology

Texas hold 'em

List of World Series of Poker Main Event champions

Rio All-Suite Hotel and Casino

Las Vegas

The AI boom turned Nvidia into a trillion-dollar giant. Its next big bet is even more complex.

Business Insider•Oct 1, 2024

Why is ChatGPT so bad at math?

TechCrunch•Oct 2, 2024

Google says its AI designs chips better than humans – experts disagree

New Scientist•Oct 3, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?

10%

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

2037-02

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

60%

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When will a robot poker player win a significant live (not online) competition?

Make a Prediction

Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Comments

Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?

Will online poker be dead on January 1, 2031?

When will an AI defeat top human players in Poohsticks?

Will an anthropomorphic robot with artificial intelligence win in a football (soccer) penalty shootout against a professional human player before January 1, 2035?