Question
When will image recognition be made robust against unrestricted adversaries?
Total Forecasters77
Community Prediction2026-08-25 (2024-07-29 - 2029-07-07)
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What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
91.9
When will an AI system achieve a score of at least 85% on the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) benchmark?
2025-07-13
When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?
2025-12-16
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Authors:
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
What will the be the state-of-the-art performance on image classification on ImageNet in top-1 accuracy on the following dates?
91.9
When will an AI system achieve a score of at least 85% on the Abstraction and Reasoning Corpus (ARC) benchmark?
2025-07-13
When will an AI be able to play Angry Birds at a level exceeding that of the best human players?
2025-12-16