Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will a S&P500 tech boom surpass the dotcom bubble for one quarter or more before 2025?

Resolved :Yes65%
24
54
Total Forecasters162
Community Prediction65% (57.1% - 85%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 65%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
-7.8
Community Peer Score
29.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Tamay
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
Economy & Business
Technology
2016-2025 Leaderboard
Dot-com bubble
SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF
S&P 500 Index

Comments

? comments