Question
What will the necessary computational power to replicate human mental capability turn out to be?
Total Forecasters124
Community Prediction1.1×10¹⁷ (260T - 3.3×10¹⁹)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
community<1T
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>1×10²⁶
...
...
...
...
...
7.6%
259.7T
1.1×10¹⁷
3.3×10¹⁹
4.5%
Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 13, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2075
