Question

When will the market for industrial robots reach $100 trillion in size?

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Total Forecasters1

Community Prediction2032-08

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My Prediction

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lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2199-12

...

2028-03

2032-08

2039-05

0.1%

Authors:

DavidMathers

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

David Mathers' Community

When will we have transformative AI?

2042-07

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

10%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

Comments

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Authors:

DavidMathers

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

David Mathers' Community

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When will we have transformative AI?

2042-07

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

10%

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

25%

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When will the market for industrial robots reach $100 trillion in size?

Make a Prediction

When will we have transformative AI?

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

Comments

When will we have transformative AI?

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

When will we have transformative AI?

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?

When will we have transformative AI?

Five years after AGI, will a single AI company dominate the world economy?

Before 2032, will we see an event precipitated by AI malfunction that causes at least 1000 deaths and/or at least $200B 2021 USD in economic damage?