Question

Before 2027, will a federal court rule in favor of a challenge to EPA regulations, basing the decision on Chevron's overturning?

Resolved :Yes

8 comments8

Total Forecasters9

Community Prediction85%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 85%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

1.7

Community Peer Score

0.1

median 85.0%mean 83.0%

Authors:

pedroacosta

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Effective Institutions Project

Law

Supreme Court to hear a new challenge to the scope of federal agency power

NBC•Nov 23, 2024

Supreme Court takes up major appeal testing power of federal agencies

CNN•Nov 23, 2024

Supreme Court Agrees to Hear Fresh Challenge to Agency Power

New York Times•Nov 23, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Before 2027, will a federal court of appeals overturn a pre-Loper Bright decision that relied on Chevron deference, citing the Supreme Court’s ruling in Loper Bright as the primary reason?

95%

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

Will California's waiver exception under the Clean Air Act be repealed before January 1, 2027?

37%

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