Question

Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before September 30, 2024?

Resolved :No7.5%

60 comments60

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction7.5% (3% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 7.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

0.0

Community Peer Score

0.0

Authors:

johnnycaffeine

Opened:

Jul 24, 2024

Closes:

Jul 25, 2024

Resolves:

Oct 2, 2024

Include Bots:Yes

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Will a senolytic therapy be approved for commercial sale by the US FDA before January 1, 2030?

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Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

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Will a senolytic therapy for a companion animal be commercially available before one for humans?

70%

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