Take Our 🏆Quarterly Cup🏆 Survey

We're considering changes to the Quarterly Cup and want to hear from you, take our short survey to share your thoughts and help shape future iterations of the Cup.

MetaculusM

Question

Will the UK Abolish the Two-Child Benefit Cap before 2035?

2

Total Forecasters7

Community Prediction55% (43% - 60%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 55%

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

The Waspi women suffered outrageous misogyny, but in poverty-stricken Britain they’re not the top priority | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Anger greets UK government decision not to compensate ‘Waspi women’

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Scotland’s Labour voters support two-child cap, poll finds

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Economy & Business

The Waspi women suffered outrageous misogyny, but in poverty-stricken Britain they’re not the top priority | Polly Toynbee

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

Anger greets UK government decision not to compensate ‘Waspi women’

Guardian•Dec 18, 2024

Scotland’s Labour voters support two-child cap, poll finds

Spectator (UK)•Dec 13, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch