Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the Spanish Wikipedia first exceed 2 million articles before October 1, 2024?

Resolved :No67.5%
56
Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction67.5% (35% - 85%)

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50%
community: 67.5%

Did this actually happen?No

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Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
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Include Bots:Yes
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