Question

Will the UK leave the EU without a deal by April 12th?

Resolved :No

40 comments40

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction10%

Make a Prediction

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.7

Community Peer Score

19.3

median 10.0%mean 13.3%

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

Brexit withdrawal agreement

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom leave the European Union, before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2037-07-25

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

Brexit withdrawal agreement

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Daily Mail•Oct 10, 2024

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Daily Mail•Oct 11, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom leave the European Union, before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2037-07-25