Question

Will the UK leave the EU without a deal by April 12th?

Resolved :No10%

40 comments40

Total Forecasters104

Community Prediction10% (7% - 15%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 10%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

47.7

Community Peer Score

19.3

Learn more about scores here.

Authors:

Pshyeah

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

United Kingdom

Brexit withdrawal agreement

Clouds on horizon as EU members meet to discuss relationship with UK

Guardian•Dec 19, 2024

European Commission takes UK to court over EU citizens’ rights

Guardian•Dec 17, 2024

Starmer faces first major Brexit test as unionists request Stormont brake

Guardian•Dec 21, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2038-01-24

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