Question

Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?

Resolved :No33%

15 comments15

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction33% (12% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

-30.3

Community Peer Score

54.5

Authors:

jim.a.stuttard

Opened:

Jul 1, 2016

Closes:

Jul 30, 2016

Resolves:

Dec 30, 2016

Accession of Turkey to the EU

Brexit

United Kingdom

UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU

Britain’s government lacks a clear Europe policy

Economist•Jan 27, 2025

EU launches bid to force UK into backing down over Brexit fishing ban - as Labour plans to 'reset' relations with Brussels

Daily Mail•Jan 28, 2025

5 years after Britain left the EU, the full impact of Brexit is still emerging

Associated Press•Jan 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will the United Kingdom rejoin the European Union before 2030?

Will any country besides the United Kingdom trigger article 50 to leave the European Union, before 2030?

When will the United Kingdom apply to rejoin the EU?

2038-06-17

Comments

? comments