Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will the UK submit article 50 notification to the European Union this year?

Resolved :No33%
10
15
Total Forecasters67
Community Prediction33% (12% - 67%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 33%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
-30.3
Community Peer Score
54.5
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
jim.a.stuttard
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Geopolitics
Politics
2016 Leaderboard
European Union
Accession of Turkey to the EU
Brexit
UK invocation of Article 50 of the Treaty on EU
United Kingdom

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