Question

Will Chinese official real GDP numbers be revised downward by at least 5% before 2023?

Resolved :No

16 comments16

Total Forecasters50

Community Prediction20%

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 20%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

67.8

Community Peer Score

6.8

median 20.0%mean 24.0%

Authors:

Jotto

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Economy & Business

Li Keqiang

Peking University

Purchasing Managers' Index

Brookings Institution

China

Gross domestic product

Historical GDP of China

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4.95

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10%

Before 2025, will at least two public health agencies claim that China deliberately misreported COVID-19 infections?

12%

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