MetaculusM

Question

Will Venezuela invade Guyana before September 30, 2024?

Resolved :No15%

Total Forecasters34

Community Prediction15% (11.3% - 20%)

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50%

community: 15%

Did this actually happen?No

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Venezuelan opposition members in diplomatic compound urge swift actions to secure their safe passage

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

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Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

The jaw-dropping number of Venezuelans who have crossed the border during Biden's time in office

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

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Authors:

Opened:

Closes:

Resolves:

Include Bots:Yes

Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

2024 Leaderboard

Venezuelan opposition members in diplomatic compound urge swift actions to secure their safe passage

Associated Press•Dec 16, 2024

World Court Judges Pose Additional Questions In Climate Change Opinion

Forbes•Dec 17, 2024

The jaw-dropping number of Venezuelans who have crossed the border during Biden's time in office

Daily Mail•Dec 18, 2024

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch