🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

How many TikTok followers will these US presidential candidates have on election day (Nov 5 2024)?

20
15 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

Presidential candidateresolution
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>25
12.35
12.84
13.4
0.5%

What was the final result?12.9

Community Baseline Score
76.6
Community Peer Score
36.9
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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