M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

Will Dr. Allan Lichtman’s prediction of the electoral college winner for the 2024 US Presidential Election be correct?

Resolved :Annulled
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction57%

Make a Prediction

community: 57.5%

Did this actually happen?Annulled

median 57.5%mean 54.6%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%

Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:

Comments

? comments