Forecast 2025 With Future Perfect

Every year, Vox's Future Perfect team predicts what will happen in the year ahead. Metaculus is collaborating with Future Perfect writers like Dylan Matthews and Marina Bolotnikova to host their forecast questions so you can predict 2025 alongside them. Participate before January 1st when they publish their forecasts Vox.com.

Predict here — $2,500 in prizes

M

Question

Will Edmundo González, the opposition candidate in the 2024 Venezuelan presidential election, be charged with a crime by Venezuelan authorities before the end of 2024?

Resolved :Yes79%
3
4
Total Forecasters16
Community Prediction79% (70% - 80%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 79%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
6.0
Community Peer Score
4.1
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
pedroacosta
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Law
Politics
2024 Leaderboard

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