Question
When will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on the International Math Olympiad?
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction2025-12-02 (2025-06-17 - 2027-01-06)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
My Prediction
communitylower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-01-01
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2025-06-17 06:41
2025-12-02 20:29
2027-01-06 13:35
15.4%
Authors:
Opened:Aug 2, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 2, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030