M

🚀Metaculus Open-Source Rewrite is Live!

You're now enjoying a rewritten, open-source Metaculus, with a range of improvements and new opportunities for collaboration. Go here to learn more!

Question

When will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on the International Math Olympiad?

7
17
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction2025-11

Make a Prediction

My Prediction
community
lower 25%
median
upper 75%
>2030-01
...
...
...
2025-06
2025-11
2026-08
7.1%
Authors:
jacob.pfau
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence

Comments

? comments