Question
When will a publicly-available LLM achieve gold on the International Math Olympiad?
Total Forecasters21
Community Prediction2025-12-01 (2025-06-27 - 2026-09-13)
Make a Prediction
CDF
weight:
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Jun 2025 | — |
| median | Dec 2025 | — |
| upper 75% | Sep 2026 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2030-01-01 | 9.6% | — |
Authors:
Opened:Aug 2, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Comments
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Authors:
Opened:Aug 2, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
