M

Question

Will someone other than Fabiano Caruana, Alireza Firouzja, Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu, or Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2024 Grand Chess Tour?

Resolved :No
66
Total Forecasters35
Community Prediction17%

Make a Prediction

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
0.0
Community Peer Score
0.0
median 17.0%mean 22.5%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
Authors:
Tom_Metaculus
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
Q3 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

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